기업다각화가 기업가치에 미치는 영향: 외환위기 회복 이후기간 패널자료분석
Effects of Corporate Diversification on Corporate Value: Evidence from Panel Data
김병곤(창원대학교); 김동욱(부산발전연구원)
34권 5호, 1535~1554쪽
초록
본 연구에서는 우리나라 외환위기 회복 이후기간인 1999년부터 2003년까지 5개년의 시계열을 갖는 390개 상장기업의균형패널자료를 이용하여 기업다각화가 기업가치에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 실증결과에 의하면 첫째, 다각화수준과 기업가치간에는 逆U字형 비선형관계가 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 기업다각화의진전이 일정수준까지는 긍정적인 효과가 크게 나타나지만, 일정수준을 넘어서면 부정적인 효과가 커져서 기업가치의 감소를 가져오는 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 다각화수준이 일정수준 이하인 경우에는 다각화수준이 증가하면 기업가치가 증가하여기업가치 증대가설인 운용효율가설, 내부자본시장의 효율성가설, 공동보험효과가설, 생산성효율가설 등에 의해 설명될 수있고, 일정수준 이상인 경우에는 다각화수준이 증가하면 다각화에 따른 가치손실이 발생하여 정보비대칭비용가설, 상호지원효과가설, 과잉투자가설 등이 성립한다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 둘째, 분석자료가 가지고 있는 횡단면-시계열적 특성을 반영하지 않은 분석방법을 사용하는 경우에는 분석결과에 큰 차이를 가져올 수 있음을 알 수 있었다. 확률효과모형이나 OLS모형을 이용한 분석에서는 다각화와 기업가치간에 의미 있는영향관계를 발견할 수 없었다. 그러나 고정효과모형을 이용한 분석에서는 다각화와 기업가치간에 逆U字형 비선형관계가존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 향후 연구에 있어서 횡단면-시계열자료를 이용하여 분석하는 경우 자료의 특성에 맞게방법론을 신중히 선택할 필요가 있음을 알 수 있었다.
Abstract
Theoretical arguments suggest that diversification has both value-enhancing and valuereducing effects. The potential benefits of operating different lines of business within one firm include greater operating efficiency, less incentive to forego positive net present value projects, greater debt capacity, and lower taxes. Chandler(1977), Lewellen(1971), Majd and Myers(1987), Stulz(1990), Weston(1970), and Williamson(1986) document value gains associated with corporate diversification strategies. The potential costs of diversification include the use of increase discretionary resources to undertake value-decreasing investment, cross-subsidies that allow poor segments to drain resources from better-performing segments, and misalignment of incentives between central and divisional managers. Berger and Ofek(1995), Lang and Stulz(1994), Servaes(1995), Shin and Stulz(1995), Denis, Denis and Sarin(1997), and Billet and Mauer(2000) document significant value losses associated with corporate diversification. Moreover, Comment and Jarrell(1995) show that diversified firms fail to take advantage of the purported benefits of diversification. In addition, Berger and Ofek(1995), Comment and Jarrell(1995), John and Ofek(1995), Liebeskind and Opler(1994), and Gillan, Kensinger and Martin(2000) document a trend toward increased corporate focus in the 1980s and report that this increase in focus is associated with significant increases in shareholder value. Khanna and Palepu(2000) show that there is a quadratic relationship between the degree of affiliated-group diversification and firm performance. They find that accounting and stock market measures of firm performance initially decline with group diversification and subsequently increase once group diversification exceeds a certain level. Generally, there is no clear prediction about the overall value effect of diversification. The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of corporate diversification on the corporate value in Korea. We use the balanced panel data for 390 listed companies during the 1999-2003. The panel data sets consist of time series observations on each of 390 crosssectional units. This research suggests a quadratic relationship between corporate value and corporate diversification. We find that corporate value initially increase with enlarges in corporate diversification, however, beyond a certain threshold, decrease with increase in corporate diversification. These results are in contrast to those obtained by Berger and Ofek(1995). They found that, there was a monotonic increase in the magnitude of the value loss from diversification as the extent of diversification increases for U.S. firms. According to this result, over-refocusing and over-diversified firms induce value loss on their firms, and then decrease their value. But optimum level of diversification can reinforce corporate value in Korea. This study also shows that, the choice of methodologies is important in analyzing the relationship between corporate diversification and corporate value. In fixed effect model, we could find that corporate diversification affected on corporate value significantly. But in random effect model and OLS model, we couldn’t have any significant relations.
- 발행기관:
- 한국경영학회
- 분류:
- 경영학