한국의 최근 지역간 이주의 경제적 결정요인에 대한 실증적 분석

This study is to investigate the economic aspects of the recent province-to-province migration in Korea. The determinants of the mobility are empirically analysed from the economic viewpoint. The model employed here is a logistic model. The location decision has been recognized to be a choice among mutually exclusive places. Thus the multinomial logit model, which is based on a rational decision among choices, provides a helpful tool for constructing a migration model. The logistic model enables us to use published macro-level data for analysing migration patterns, while most of migration studies use micro-data from individual or household surveys. The logistic model also considers non-migration behavior as a rational multiple locational choice process. Using the logistic migration model with published macro data of the year 2003, the effects of the regional major economic effects on interregional migration are empirically investigated, and compared between departure and destination places. We also test various well-established hypotheses related to migration. One of major findings is that the origin wage effect is empirically shown to be non-negative, contrary to the expectation of a negative effect. This non-negative effect indicates that the origin income may have a supporting role in migration by funding for moving. As another major finding, the regional creation of non-farm jobs is recommended as an effective policy tool for drawing people into a region. The employment rate empirically turns out to discourage outward mobility in the origin region and encourage inward mobility in the destination region.