청년층 미취업자 특성에 관한 분석 - 미취업 결정요인 및 낙인 효과를 중심으로 -

In this paper I analyze the determination factors which have effects on the unemployed status of the youth, and whether the not-employed status of the last period affect that of this period, using ‘Youth Panel data’ made by ‘Korea Employment Information Service’. The Results of PROBIT regression analysis show that individual characteristic variables such as education, age, and marriage status have strong effects on the not-employed or unemployed status of the youth. However variables of experience of job training, regional unemployment rate, and the family backgrounds don't have any statistically significant effects on the not-employed or unemployed status. Whether he/she has a job related license affects on the not-employed status, but does not on the unemployed status. Next, by the analysis on whether the not-employed status of the last period affect that of this period, even though just the value of ‘experience dependence’ is estimated through difference equation, I can find out the statistically significant effect of the last period not-employed status, especially in male samples. It is a very different result from the Ellwood(1982). This result means that there is more severe scar effect of the not-employed experience in Korea than in the U.S.A., and this effect appears stronger in males than in females.