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학술논문보험금융연구2010.07 발행KCI 피인용 5

종신연금과 종신보험의 사망 리스크 헤징 포트폴리오 전략에 관한 연구

A Mortality-Risk hedging Portfolio Strategy in Whole-Life Insurance and Annuity

성주호(경희대학교)

21권 2호, 3~36쪽

초록

본 연구는 사망률의 변화 추세에 따른 사망리스크와 장수리스크에 대해 살펴보고, 이미 여러연구를 통하여 검증된 Lee-Carter 모형을 이용하여 일반사망률과 연금사망률에 대해 사망률의 변화 추세를 반영함으로써 현행 예정사망률에 의한 상품 설계 속에 내재된 잠재적 손익을계리적 산출 모형을 통하여 제시하고자 하였다. 본 연구의 결과, 본 연구에서 생사차손익을 0으로 만들기 위한 사망보장급부와 생존보장급부의 비율은 한 가지 상품 내에서 약“52.74792 : 1”이며, 만약 거치기간이 다르다면 그 비율도 달라진다. 그리고 두 가지 상품으로 사망보장급부와 생존보장급부를 각각 설정한 경우의 급부 비율은 약“10.59732 : 1”이다. 이러한 상품운용관리는 보험사업자 스스로 적용할 수 있는 내부헤징전략(internal hedging strategies)으로서, 보험사업자는 사망률의 개선을 반영하여 운용해야할 뿐만 아니라 더 나아가 미래 시장환경을 예측하여 적절한 예정이자율을 설정함으로써 완전한 헤징이 이루어지도록 해야 할 것이다.

Abstract

The demand for a whole life annuity in pursuit of planning for one’s retirement has been gradually increasing in Korea, and this is rooted in the prolongation of average lifespan. However, this trend is not reflected in the assumed mortality, which is used when designing insurance products. In this study, we first examined mortality, survival, and longevity risks based on the mortality rate changes. Subsequently, we suggested the actuarial gain and loss inherent to a product design through an actuarial model by considering the rate changes both in ordinary mortality rate and annuity mortality rate based on the Lee-Carter model. In the case where both mortality coverage and survival coverage are included in one product, we proposed a mechanism to hedge the aggregate survival-mortality gain and loss adjusted through the mortality coverage benefit to survival coverage benefit ratio in a given period. Furthermore, we suggested a measure to achieve gain and loss management goals of insurance providers by establishing different mortality coverage benefit to survival coverage benefit ratio in order to offset the aggregate survivalmortality gain and loss variable in accordance with the mortality coverage period through our model discussed above. Finally, we emphasized the importance of establishing the assumed interest rate by presenting the aggregate gain and loss estimates as a result of effective interest rate following product management under the assumption that prospective improvement in the mortality rate is guaranteed. In conclusion, the mortality coverage benefit to survival coverage benefit ratio to make the aggregate survival-mortality gain and loss zero in this study was approximately “52.74792 to 1”in one product, and this ratio varied according to the term unredeemed. In addition, the ratio when two products exist was approximately “10.59732 to 1”. Therefore, insurance providers must perform product management with the improvement in mortality rate through internal hedging strategies taken into account in order to lead a successful business. In addition, they must pursue complete hedging by predicting future market environment and establishing an appropriately assumed interest rate.

발행기관:
보험연구원
분류:
경영학

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종신연금과 종신보험의 사망 리스크 헤징 포트폴리오 전략에 관한 연구 | 보험금융연구 2010 | AskLaw | 애스크로 AI