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학술논문회계ㆍ세무와 감사 연구2010.12 발행KCI 피인용 1

상속세법상 유사상장법인 비교평가 방법의 적절성에 관한 연구

Appropriateness of Evaluation Method in Comparison with Similar Listed Corporation under the Inheritance Tax Law

임채용(세무법인 민화); 홍정화(경원대학교)

52호, 225~260쪽

초록

본 연구는 상속증여세법상 비상장주식평가시 비교법에서 적용하고 있는 자기자본이익률(ROE) 대신에 총자산이익률(ROA) 지표를 적용할 경우 주가예측에 어떠한 결과가 나타나는가를 분석하였다. 자기자본이익률을 대체하여 총자산이익률을 이용할 경우 실제주가와의 차이가 최소화되는지를 분석하였다. 이어서 자기자본이익률을 적용하는 경우보다 비교법 적용기업의 수에 어떠한 변화가 오고 보충법주가와 비교법주가의 차이가 어느 정도 나는지를 분석하였다. 본 연구의 실증분석 대상은 한국신용평가(주)의 재무자료(KIS_-VALUE)에 수록된 자료를 이용하였다. 실증분석에서는 가설검증을 위한 통계적 분석을 하고 그 시간적 범위는 2008년 금융위기의 비정상적인 시기를 피하기 위하여 2005년부터 2007년까지 재무자료를 활용하였다. 본 연구의 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 검증결과 총자산이익률에 의한 보충법 주가추정치가 자기자본이익률에 의한 보충법 주가추정치보다 평균적으로 50% 가량 높게 나타나고 총자산이익률의 표준편차는 자기자본이익률에 비하여 4배 가까이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 이것은 총자산이익률에 의한 비교법 주가가 자기자본이익률을 이용한 비교법 주가보다 왜곡 정도가 심한 보충법 주가를 대체한다는 것을 의미한다. 따라서 비교법에서 자기자본이익률을 적용한 추정주가보다 총자산이익률을 적용한 추정주가가 보충법 주가의 왜곡 개선효과가 큰 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 자기자본이익률을 이용할 경우보다 총자산이익률을 기준으로 사용할 경우 비교법 대상기업의 수가 현저하게 늘어나는 것을 알 수 있었다. 자기자본이익률을 이용할 경우 적용대상 기업수는 329개에서 721개로 증가하였다. 이를 업종 구분기준에 의하여 세분화하여 보면, 세세분류에서 자기자본이익률의 경우 20개인 반면에 총자산이익률을 적용할 경우 88개로 증가하였다. 세분류의 경우 자기자본이익률이 15개인 반면에 총자산이익률을 적용하면 60개로 늘었다. 소분류에서는 자기자본이익률이 36개, 총자산이익률이 204개로 늘었고 중분류에서는 자기자본이익률이 258개, 총자산이익률이 269개로 나타났다. 따라서 정책당국이 비교법 적용대상기업수를 늘리고자 한다면 자기자본이익률 대신에 총자산이익률을 적용하는 것이 필요하다.

Abstract

Inheritance & Gift Tax Law in Korea provides the method for evaluating unlisted stocks through weighted average of asset value and earnings value (Complementary Evaluation Method, CEM), since it is difficult to determine the market value of unlisted stocks. This CEM is characterized by a uniform method that relies upon substitution of past financial data for a certain formula without CEnsidering any eCEnomic phenomena of business entity. That is why it causes overestimation or underestimation about value of unlisted stocks, for that reason, a series of criticisms concerned about potential violations of Equity on Tax Burden have been proposed. Therefore, if taxpayers claim that it is irrational to apply CEM to evaluate their unlisted stocks, they could be allowed to request the application of so-called ‘the Evaluation Method in Comparison with Similar Listed Corporation (hereinafter called Comparison Method [CM])’ by tax law, so as to calculate the value of unlisted stocks in comparison with similar listed corporation to their company. However, this method has a disadvantage in that it is subject to strict application standards such as return on equity (ROE) specified as a part of application requirements, conventional academic literatures have reported that there were only very few companies applying CM. Thus, this study focused on investigating into potential results of stock value estimation on the supposition that return on assets (ROA) is applied as alternative index for ROE in CEM, particularly focusing on the following points:First, this study sought to analyze potential effects of ROA-based estimated stock values on improving any bias of stock values estimated by CEM, and determine if it could involve low value of variance. Secondly, this study sought to examine if there could be more companies relying upon CM on the basis of ROA than ROE, and if there could be increasing differences in the estimated stock values between CEM and CM on the basis of ROA than ROE. This study adopted both literature review and empirical analysis. And the empirical analysis covered unlisted corporations in Korea from 2005 to 2007 (during total 3 years). The results of this study can be summed up as follows:First, it was found that in case of CM, the reflection of ROA-based stock values estimated with CEM was more effective in improving any bias of stock values than that of ROE-based stock values estimated with CEM. According to test results, it was found that ROA-based stock values estimated with CFM were about 50% higher on average than ROE- based ones estimated with CFM, and the standard deviations of ROA- based stock values estimated with CFM were almost 4 times higher than those of ROE- based ones. These findings mean that ROA-based stock values estimated with CM can effectively replace the stock values estimated with CFM which are more biased than ROE-based stock values estimated with CM. Secondly, it was found that ROA-based estimation of stock values was more effective in significantly increasing number of companies subject to CM than ROE-based estimation of stock values. And it was found that the number of companies subject to ROE-based estimation totaled 329, but that of those subject to ROA-based estimation became more than double to total 721. Therefore, these findings suggest that it is advisable that our governmental authorities should apply ROA rather than ROE to increase the number of companies targeted by CM. Despite significant findings, this study requires further investigations in near future and has the following limitations and challenges:First, this study is not free from any error in deduction of correct results, because it just adopts net income listed on balance sheets in calculating both asset value and return value, even without allowing for either fair value or tax reconciliation of targeted companies. Secondly, on the basis of findings obtained herein, it is advisable that follow-up studies focus on investigating if it would be appropriate for Article 13 of the National Tax Service Ordinance to provide a restriction on more than 30% in difference of estimated values, ultimately with a view to expanding the number of companies targeted by CM. Thirdly, it is generally known that unlisted corporations have limited liquidity, because they have no open market at all. Therefore, evaluation of these unlisted stocks in comparison with freely exchangeable stocks of listed companies is problematic in itself. Hence, it is necessary for a new follow-up study to investigate the rate of discount on the estimated value by measuring all losses resulting from limited liquidity of unlisted stocks.

발행기관:
한국공인회계사회
DOI:
http://dx.doi.org/10.22781/kicpa.2010..52.225
분류:
회계학

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