감정평가업의 향후 방향 및 그 과제에 관한 연구

A appraiser`s licensee is 3,060 people as of June, 2010. The annual appraisal business market(fee standard) scales including investigations into appraised value of land are more than approximately 556,100 million won in the end of 2009 standard. As for “this, is such a growth possible all the time?”I showed scenario planning and a trend toward growth at future possibility of the appraisal business in this study. First, descriptive research method was utilized in the study method of the theory study of the appraisal. Second, the grope technique of a correspondence strategy to be called scenario planning was utilized to make an analysis of a prospect in the appraisal business. The result of the scenario planning was three. ① One was a scenario of the forthcoming prosperity in winter to the next. ② If economy of Korea got over a crisis, it was the scenario which the appraisal business came to have a qualitative change toward. ③ It was the scenario that The deflation of Korean economy produces the great depression after all. In addition, I grasped that trend of the our future society change will be continuously a population decline, low economic growth, orders high, poverty of old person, high educational background, social polarization. For such society change, I think that I am hard to hope that a real estate economy same before becomes booming and the big growth of the real estate service industry including the appraisal business that is the same as the past in the future. Therefore, nine trends toward growth were shown in a base by such a scenario. The trend toward growth of the appraisal business is to provide service filled up to a appraisal client. It is to widen duties of the appraisal business using a business process outsourcing(BPO). It is to widen duties of the appraisal business using a internet and web base to get over a local limit. It is to widen duties of the appraisal business using an intangible property right in the trust society. It is to realize a globalization of appraisal business duties and to prepare the international standard of appraisal business in a countermeasure for inking an FTA with U.S. and EU. It is to widen duties of the appraisal business to export know-how of appraisal business. It is to maintain sound management of the appraisal business through professional training reinforcement and to strengthen the bond between appraisers, to make a sustained scenario planning. This trend toward growth is applied to all three scenarios derived through scenario planning analysis technique commonly. This trend toward growth may push forward management of the appraisal business.