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학술논문금융연구2012.09 발행KCI 피인용 1

Time Preference and Saving Rate : Implications for Global Imbalances

Time Preference and Saving Rate : Implications for Global Imbalances

김대환(건국대학교); 유재원(건국대학교)

26권 3호, 61~91쪽

초록

Global imbalances - the current account imbalances of major countries - make the world economy unstable, and may have been one of the main causes of the global financial crisis. This study aims to analyze whether the difference in time preference generated global imbalances through its effect on saving rates. Our hypothesis is that the households of three East Asian countries (Korea, Japan, and Taiwan) are more “patient” than U.S. households. To evaluate this hypothesis,we estimated time preference - the time discount rate and the intertemporal elasticity - for three East Asian countries and compared the estimates to those of the U.S. The empirical results do not support the hypothesis, suggesting that a satisfactory explanation of global imbalances and the saving gap should come from something other than difference in time preference.

Abstract

Global imbalances - the current account imbalances of major countries - make the world economy unstable, and may have been one of the main causes of the global financial crisis. This study aims to analyze whether the difference in time preference generated global imbalances through its effect on saving rates. Our hypothesis is that the households of three East Asian countries (Korea, Japan, and Taiwan) are more “patient” than U.S. households. To evaluate this hypothesis,we estimated time preference - the time discount rate and the intertemporal elasticity - for three East Asian countries and compared the estimates to those of the U.S. The empirical results do not support the hypothesis, suggesting that a satisfactory explanation of global imbalances and the saving gap should come from something other than difference in time preference.

발행기관:
한국금융학회
분류:
경제학

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