거시경제변수를 고려한 기술평가모형의 개선 :기술보증기금의 사례
An Improved Technology Appraisal Model Considering Macroeconomic Variable : A Case of KOTEC
김대철(성균관대학교); 김재범(성균관대학교); 조근태(성균관대학교)
30권 2호, 117~132쪽
초록
The objective of this paper is to provide an improved technology appraisal model, which considers a variety of macroeconomic variables such as consumer price index and producer price index. The improved model was built using cross correlation analysis and logistic regression analysis. The AUROC analysis showed that goodness-of-fit of the proposed model turned out to be improved than that of the existing model. The model proposed in the paper would be helpful for making a reasonable investments and financing decision, lessening the default rates by systematic risk management, and enhancing the technology commercialization capabilities.
Abstract
The objective of this paper is to provide an improved technology appraisal model, which considers a variety of macroeconomic variables such as consumer price index and producer price index. The improved model was built using cross correlation analysis and logistic regression analysis. The AUROC analysis showed that goodness-of-fit of the proposed model turned out to be improved than that of the existing model. The model proposed in the paper would be helpful for making a reasonable investments and financing decision, lessening the default rates by systematic risk management, and enhancing the technology commercialization capabilities.
- 발행기관:
- 한국경영과학회
- 분류:
- 경영학