Do Analysts’ Experience, Resources, and Forecast Characteristics Affect Forecast Accuracy? Korean Evidence
Do Analysts’ Experience, Resources, and Forecast Characteristics Affect Forecast Accuracy? Korean Evidence
정석우(고려대학교); 배진한(고려대학교); 박성화(고려대학교)
11권 2호, 67~109쪽
초록
This paper assesses the impact of financial analysts’ characteristics on their earnings forecast accuracy in Korea. We find that forecasting experience, resources available to analysts, forecast frequency, and forecast horizon affect forecast accuracy. These results are generally consistent with U.S. findings. However, Regulation Fair Disclosure is not as effective in Korea as in the U.S. in leveling the playing field for analysts and bold forecasts are not more accurate than herding forecasts in Korea, suggesting that the analyst forecast market and the incentives of financial analysts in Korea differ from those of the U.S. Investors may utilize the findings of this paper to identify more accurate earnings forecasters in Korea.
Abstract
This paper assesses the impact of financial analysts’ characteristics on their earnings forecast accuracy in Korea. We find that forecasting experience, resources available to analysts, forecast frequency, and forecast horizon affect forecast accuracy. These results are generally consistent with U.S. findings. However, Regulation Fair Disclosure is not as effective in Korea as in the U.S. in leveling the playing field for analysts and bold forecasts are not more accurate than herding forecasts in Korea, suggesting that the analyst forecast market and the incentives of financial analysts in Korea differ from those of the U.S. Investors may utilize the findings of this paper to identify more accurate earnings forecasters in Korea.
- 발행기관:
- 금융지식연구소
- 분류:
- 증권/주식/채권