한국상장 중국기업의 이익조정과 가치평가
Earnings Management and Firm Valuation of Chinese IPO Firms in Korean Stock Market
홍영도(성도회계법인 전무); 양동훈(동국대학교); 김령(동국대학교)
24권 5호, 245~279쪽
초록
2005년 외국기업의 국내 상장이 허용된 이래 16개 중국기업들이 국내 증권시장에 상장하였다. 그러나 그중 3개 기업이 회계부실문제로 상장이 폐지되고 또 다른 3개 기업은 국내시장에서 기업가치가 저하되자 자진하여 상장을 폐지하는 등 국내에서 상장된 중국기업이 한국 시장에서 신뢰를 얻지 못하고 있다. 본 연구는 국내에 상장된 중국기업이 시장에서 신뢰를 얻지 못하는 이유를 중국기업의 상장전후의 이익조정으로 보고 중국기업이 같은 기간에 상장한 한국기업보다도 상장전후에 이익조정이 더 큰지를 검증하였다. 실증분석 결과 한국상장 중국기업은 같은 기간에 상장한 한국기업보다 상장직전년도와 상장년도에 이익조정을 더 많이 하는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 이러한 이익조정결과 중국기업들의 ROA가 상장 이후에 한국기업에 비하여 하락폭이 더 큰 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 2011년 3월 중국고섬기업이 회계부실문제로 거래가 정지된 사건은 중국기업이 보고한 재무제표에 대하여 시장이 불신하게 된 계기가 되었다. Ohlson모형으로 분석한 결과 고섬사태이후에는 중국기업이 보고한 회계이익의 기업가치반영정도가 고섬사태이전에 비하여 유의하게 약화되었음을 확인하였다. 추가로 한국상장 중국기업의 Tobin Q비율을 고섬사태전후로 나누어 비교한 결과 고섬사태이후에 중국기업의기업가치가 한국상장기업에 비하여 유의하게 낮음을 확인하였다..중국기업이 중국에 상장하지 않고 한국시장을 선택하게 되는 이유로 한국시장의 상장요건이 중국에 비하여 엄격하지않고 또한 상장에 소요되는 기간이 짧아 중국시장에 상장하는 경우보다 용이하게 자금을 조달할 수 있음에 기인한다. 따라서 한국시장을 선택한 중국기업들은 재무상태나 회계이익의 질이 취약할 수 있다. 회계가 부실한 기업들이 국내시장에 상장을 할 경우 국내투자자들의 투자손실을 초래할 뿐 아니라 시장의 불신으로 인하여 우수한 해외기업이 국내시장에 상장하는데 장애요인이 되고 있다. 본 연구는 외국기업의 한국시장 상장전의 회계감사절차를 강화해야 할 필요가 있으며 상장심사기준에서도 회계부실여부를 보다 면밀히 검증할 필요가 있음을 시사한다.
Abstract
Sixteen Chinese firms have initiated public offerings in Korean stock market since foreign firms were allowed IPO in Korean securities market. As of 2015, three firms of them have been delisted due to their accounting scandals and other three firms volunteerly delisted because their stock prices were devaluated in Korean market compared to other markets caused by alleged investors’ distrust about financial statements of Chinese firms. Under the assumption that the distrust of Chinese firms resulted from Chinese firms’ earning management around IPO, we investigated whether Chinese IPO firms’ earning management had been higher than that of Korean IPO firms in one year prior to IPO and in the year of IPO by using discretionary accruals as the earnings management proxy measured by the both modified Jones model and Kothari's performance matched model. Our empirical results indicates that Chinese firms listed in Korean market had exhibited significantly higher discretionary accruals than those of Korean firms around IPOs, which means Chinese firms had managed the reported earnings of one year prior to IPO and in the year of IPO using discretionary accruals to increase IPO prices. Further, the earnings management had led to the decline in ROA in the next year of IPO, thereby resulting in significant investment loss of Korean investors. Our study also showed that the degree of decrease in ROA of Chinese IPO firms had been greater than that of Korean firms. We next found that the relationship between stock prices and reported earnings of Chinese IPO firms became weaker after the Chinese “Gosum accounting scandal” which was a crucial event that triggered Korean investors’ distrust of financial statements of Chinese firms. We have also found that Tobin’s Q ratios of Chinese firms were significantly lower than those of Korean firms after the scandal, suggesting that Chinese firms suffered from devaluation of their stock prices after the scandal. The devaluation of Chinese firms in Korean market had led voluntary delistings of additional Chinese firms, their movements to stock markets of other countries and, to make things worse, the stop of new IPO of Chinese firm in Korean market. As a result, many Korean investors who invested in the stocks of Chinese IPO firms had made losses and lost the opportunity to invest new Chinese IPO firms in Korean market. We conjecture there are three plausible reasons for Chinese firms to choose Korean market for IPO rather than Chinese market. First, Chinese IPO firms applying for Korean market may not be so financially sound as those applying for Chinese market because the listing criteria to Korean market is relatively easier than the criteria of Chinese market. Also, Chinese firms that were urgent in financing IPO money would choose Korean market of which IPO process is generally faster than that of Chinese stock market. Second, the complicated corporate governance may have caused the earnings management. If Chinese firms intend to list in foreign stock markets, they need approvals from Chinese financial authority. Due to difficulty with getting the approval, they set up the holding companies in other countries to get around the difficulty and list these holding companies in foreign stock markets including Korean market. This practice may result in the irresponsibility of the compliance. Finally, the probable low accounting quality of Chinese firms could be attributable to the difference between K-IFRS and C-IFRS. Chinese firms have to prepare financial statements of both standards, but they may not fully understand K-IFRS and Korean auditors have difficulty with auditing Chinese firms that are located geographically far away and culturally unfamiliar. Collectively, empirical results of our study imply that audit process for foreign pre-IPO firms should be more thorough and the policy makers should tighten screening criteria in examining accounting reports of foreign IPO firms.
- 발행기관:
- 한국회계학회
- 분류:
- 회계학