날씨와 시간, 그리고 가정폭력

Despite the long and abundant research on the association between crime and weather in the Western countries, hardly any attention has been paid on weather factors among studies of Korean criminology. The current study aims to examine how weather and temporal factors have an influence on domestic violence. Using 39,620 calls for service reported as domestic violence to the Seoul Metropolitan Police Agency, negative binomial regression was conducted. In the hour-level analysis, as the relative humidity rose, the probability of domestic violence increased too. In the day-level analysis, domestic violence was positively related to the relative humidity of the next day, not to that of the same day. In contrast, temperature was not significantly related to domestic violence taking into account temporal factors. The fluctuation of the occurrence of domestic violence was more affected by temporal factors than weather factors. Taking into account weather factors, domestic violence occurred more frequently at night, on weekends and holidays than in the daytime and on weekdays. Comparing the high-risk areas with the low-risk areas, which are divided based on domestic violence rates, temporal factors exerted greater influence on domestic violence in the latter. This result shows that domestic violence in the low-risk areas are more opportunistic and situational than the high-risk areas.