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학술논문한국증권학회지2018.06 발행KCI 피인용 4

An Analysis of Herding in the Korean Stock Market Using Network Theory

An Analysis of Herding in the Korean Stock Market Using Network Theory

신진호(성균관대학교); 황수성(성균관대학교); 김영일(성균관대학교)

47권 3호, 505~542쪽

초록

Using network theory, we investigate if investors follow movements of closely ‘connected stocks’ regardless of their fundamentals or industries when investment decision is driven by panic under stress. We find strong evidence of herding in the Korean market for the period from January 2005 to December 2015 as in previous studies in herding. However, herding arises at positive extreme market movements during bear states. We interpret the results as follows: during bear states when the expected market return is high, overconfident investors over-respond to good signals because the signals are consistent with their priors of the high expected market return (self-attribution bias). Herding does not necessarily arise by panic under stress.

Abstract

Using network theory, we investigate if investors follow movements of closely ‘connected stocks’ regardless of their fundamentals or industries when investment decision is driven by panic under stress. We find strong evidence of herding in the Korean market for the period from January 2005 to December 2015 as in previous studies in herding. However, herding arises at positive extreme market movements during bear states. We interpret the results as follows: during bear states when the expected market return is high, overconfident investors over-respond to good signals because the signals are consistent with their priors of the high expected market return (self-attribution bias). Herding does not necessarily arise by panic under stress.

발행기관:
한국증권학회
DOI:
http://dx.doi.org/10.26845/KJFS.2018.06.47.3.505
분류:
경영학

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