국내 포워더의 생존 요인과 도산예측에 관한 실증 연구

In this study, we have analyzed the factors affecting the survival of the forwarder companies using the data on the forwarder companies of Korean Enterprise Data (KED), and the difference in the survival rate among the individual company groups of interest was tested. We have used the survival analysis method such as Cox 's proportional hazard model and Kaplan-Meier analysis, and also we have used decision tree and logistics regression analysis in order to predict the bankruptcy. We can use the results of the research as follows: First, for the development of the forwarding industry, it is necessary to foster a small number of elite corporations as large global corporations, and to improve the soundness or viability of companies throughout the industry. It is necessary to consider utilizing various registration systems as a means for the latter. If the government introduces more stringent standards and applies it strictly, it will contribute to improving the viability of the industry. Second, CASS subscribers maintained a relatively low closing rate in the comparison of closure rates among groups. If the CASS system used in these air cargoes is introduced to maritime transportation and the shipping companies and forwarders participate in it, it will contribute to increase the health of international logistics companies.