변이할당분석과 입지계수를 이용한 광주광역시 제조업의 경쟁력 분석

The main aim of this article is to analyze the industrial production changes of Gwangju Metropolitan City using the shift-share techniques. This paper also incorporates the location quotient into the BCG matrix, because the former provides a measure of the relative concentration (or specialization) of each sector in Gwangju, and the latter takes into account the effect of time exposure and point on the dynamism of the regional specialization. The shift-share analysis shows that regional competitive component plays a very important role for most of changes of industrial production, of which regional competitiveness is overwhelmingly greater than national and industrial component for chemicals products, rubber products, non-metallic mineral products, basic metals, electrical equipment, other machinery and equipment, and motor vehicles. This study shows that food products, chemicals products, medical and precision instruments, other machinery and equipment, and wood products with positive IC and RC belong to growth or mature area, so it is recommended to let those manufactures continue carry out their activities and promote them for a further. Beverages, rubber products and motor vehicles with a high level of LQ but with a declining trend with its negative LQ growth rate are recommended to direct the development policy towards promotion of these manufactures with the aim to progressively move them towards the sector ‘MATURE’. It is also recommended that paper wearing apparel, paper products and printing would be transformed to the more promising industry, since they are not only on the area with negative RC and IC, but have low level of LQ and falling growth rate of LQ.