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학술논문보험금융연구2020.02 발행

Stock Return, Volume and Volatility in the EGARCH model

Stock Return, Volume and Volatility in the EGARCH model

Yi Jiang(California State University)

31권 1호, 115~136쪽

초록

I use EGARCH model to study the asymmetric impact of negative and positive shocks on stock return volatility. I find the asymmetric effects exist and the impact on volatility of a negative shock is greater than that of a positive shock. Furthermore, I examine the dynamic relationship between returns, volume and volatility of stock index by introducing trading volume as an exogenous variable into the EGARCH model. The results indicate that trading volume contributes some information to the returns processes of stock indexes. However, the persistence of volatility remains even after incorporating lagged volume effects, which are proxies for information flow. Granger causality tests demonstrate stronger evidence of returns causing volume than volume causing returns.

Abstract

I use EGARCH model to study the asymmetric impact of negative and positive shocks on stock return volatility. I find the asymmetric effects exist and the impact on volatility of a negative shock is greater than that of a positive shock. Furthermore, I examine the dynamic relationship between returns, volume and volatility of stock index by introducing trading volume as an exogenous variable into the EGARCH model. The results indicate that trading volume contributes some information to the returns processes of stock indexes. However, the persistence of volatility remains even after incorporating lagged volume effects, which are proxies for information flow. Granger causality tests demonstrate stronger evidence of returns causing volume than volume causing returns.

발행기관:
보험연구원
DOI:
http://dx.doi.org/10.23842/jif.2020.31.1.004
분류:
경영학

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