경기도 어린이 의료비 상한제 도입에 대한 시나리오 분석

Purposes: This study purposed to predict the government finances required for the introduction of children’s medical expenditure limit system in gyeonggi-do. Methodology: Status analysis, scenario analysis and trend prediction analysis were conducted to estimate using Korea Health Panel Survey 2014-2017. In study, children were classified into 4 categories, preschool children, elementary school students, middle school students, high school students, all analyzes were conducted in 4 categories. Findings: In the analysis of the current status of medical expenditure for children, preschooler were the highest percentage of total medical expenditure and high school students were highest medical expenditure per person. In the scenario analysis, the financial requirements for the introduction of the limit system were 1,489~2,566 billion won(at 0.5 million won upper limit), 818~1,640 billion won(at 1 million won upper limit), 728~1,554 billion won(at 1.5 million won upper limit). In the trend prediction analysis, medical expenditure of more than 1 million won are predicted to increase to 1 trillion 98.1 billion won in 2030. Practical Implications: So, the introduction of the 1 million won limit system on children’s medical expenditure as a way to strengthen medical coverage for children is a system with high possibility and reality. This further improves the quality of life of children and their families, it will be a system that enables children to grow into healthy adults.