서울시민의 탈(脫)서울 의사에 영향을 미치는 인구 · 주택 · 일자리 특성요인 분석 :코로나19 경험 시기를 중심으로

This study aims to examine the long-term population outflow of Seoul citizens who experienced COVID-19 and the factors affecting the intention to immigrate or reside in Seoul. For this purpose, a multiple regression analysis model was used, and the study’s main results were as follows. First, the youth group (2030) had a relatively high intention to live in Seoul in the future. However, the phenomenon of pulling out against such demand is strong. Second, the variables affecting the long-term intention to live in Seoul were gender, age, duration of residence in Seoul, housing type, occupation type, employment type, job turnover, leisure more than work, and working from home. Third, despite the similar analysis results of housing and employment characteristics by the age groups, the youth group outflow from Seoul is more substantial because the group has been experiencing relatively more economic and residential instability than the older-aged group. Fourth, the effect of remote working during the pandemic was found to be effective in the older group, and the experience of the working system did not lead to the outflow from Seoul. Finally, economic difficulties and housing affordability issues caused by COVID-19 are likely to lead to the outflow of younger people, so housing and employment support policies are more necessary.