Optimal Annuitization with Markov Regime Switching Model
Optimal Annuitization with Markov Regime Switching Model
박세영(Univ. of Nottingham)
34권 3호, 33~57쪽
초록
We develop a new dynamic model of annuitization in which a Cobb- Douglas- type consumption-leisure utility maximizing individual receives non-traded constant labor income and has to decide on her allocation between a stock and a risk-free asset, as well as decide on the time when she enters full annuitization at one distinct point in time (around optimal retirement age). The distinct feature of the paper results from its consideration for a two-state regime-switching market environment. We analytically derive regime-dependent thresholds of wealth for annuitization and quantitatively identify the target annuitization wealth levels under the carefully chosen baseline parameter values. In particular, we find that the target annuitization wealth level is smaller in the Bull market than in the bear market, thus accounting for the reality that U.S. individuals opted for early annuitization in the Bull market as observed in the late 1990’s.
Abstract
We develop a new dynamic model of annuitization in which a Cobb- Douglas- type consumption-leisure utility maximizing individual receives non-traded constant labor income and has to decide on her allocation between a stock and a risk-free asset, as well as decide on the time when she enters full annuitization at one distinct point in time (around optimal retirement age). The distinct feature of the paper results from its consideration for a two-state regime-switching market environment. We analytically derive regime-dependent thresholds of wealth for annuitization and quantitatively identify the target annuitization wealth levels under the carefully chosen baseline parameter values. In particular, we find that the target annuitization wealth level is smaller in the Bull market than in the bear market, thus accounting for the reality that U.S. individuals opted for early annuitization in the Bull market as observed in the late 1990’s.
- 발행기관:
- 한국리스크관리학회
- 분류:
- 경영학