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학술논문리스크관리연구2023.09 발행KCI 피인용 2

Optimal Annuitization with Markov Regime Switching Model

Optimal Annuitization with Markov Regime Switching Model

박세영(Univ. of Nottingham)

34권 3호, 33~57쪽

초록

We develop a new dynamic model of annuitization in which a Cobb- Douglas- type consumption-leisure utility maximizing individual receives non-traded constant labor income and has to decide on her allocation between a stock and a risk-free asset, as well as decide on the time when she enters full annuitization at one distinct point in time (around optimal retirement age). The distinct feature of the paper results from its consideration for a two-state regime-switching market environment. We analytically derive regime-dependent thresholds of wealth for annuitization and quantitatively identify the target annuitization wealth levels under the carefully chosen baseline parameter values. In particular, we find that the target annuitization wealth level is smaller in the Bull market than in the bear market, thus accounting for the reality that U.S. individuals opted for early annuitization in the Bull market as observed in the late 1990’s.

Abstract

We develop a new dynamic model of annuitization in which a Cobb- Douglas- type consumption-leisure utility maximizing individual receives non-traded constant labor income and has to decide on her allocation between a stock and a risk-free asset, as well as decide on the time when she enters full annuitization at one distinct point in time (around optimal retirement age). The distinct feature of the paper results from its consideration for a two-state regime-switching market environment. We analytically derive regime-dependent thresholds of wealth for annuitization and quantitatively identify the target annuitization wealth levels under the carefully chosen baseline parameter values. In particular, we find that the target annuitization wealth level is smaller in the Bull market than in the bear market, thus accounting for the reality that U.S. individuals opted for early annuitization in the Bull market as observed in the late 1990’s.

발행기관:
한국리스크관리학회
DOI:
http://dx.doi.org/10.21480/tjrm.34.3.202309.002
분류:
경영학

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