순차적 혼합연구 방법론을 활용한 EU 탄소국경조정 메커니즘(CBAM) 대응 산업지원 정책과제 도출 및 정책효과 분석 연구

This study aims to identify domestic industrial policy measures in response to the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism(CBAM) and to quantitatively verify their economic and social impacts. A sequential mixed research method, combining qualitative methods such as expert surveys and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP), and quantitative methods like Computable General Equilibrium(CGE) models, was employed. Expert survey results were categorized to derive industrial policy measures, which were then grouped into three types: 'support', 'protection', and 'promotion and conversion', based on their characteristics and objectives. The urgency and effectiveness of these policy measures were evaluated using AHP, with 'R&D support' emerging as the top priority. Analysis using the CGE model demonstrated that R&D support significantly contributes to economic improvement and the achievement of industrial decarbonization quantitatively. In conclusion, to address challenges posed by the CBAM and transition to a low-carbon economy, support policies for the industry are essential. Notably, efforts towards technological innovation are confirmed to be necessary in the long term perspective.