가계소비의 회복력과 소득탄력성의 변동패턴 분석
Analysis of Resilience of Household Consumption and Fluctuating Pattern of Income Elasticities
임준형(중앙대학교 창업경영대학원)
37권 3호, 473~483쪽
초록
본 연구는 우리나라 근로자가구와 근로자외가구의 소득 격차가 점차 확대됨에 따라 근로자가구와 근로자외가구의 소비패턴 차이를 규명하는 데 목적을 둔다. 오차수정방정식을 추정하여 근로자가구와 근로자외가구 모두 통신비, 보건비, 식료품비 의 오차수정계수가 작으며, 특히 통신비와 보건비의 조정속도가 작아 통신비와 보건비 지출조정에 상당한 어려움을 겪는다는 것을 보인다. 근로자가구는 식료품, 의류신발, 주거, 교통, 교육에서 오차수정계수가 근로자외가구보다 커서 지출조정이 빠르게 이루어지는 데 비해 통신, 오락문화, 음식숙박, 비소비지출에서 근로자외가구보다 작아 지출축소가 근로자외가구에 비해 더디게 조정된다는 것을 밝힌다. 특히 근로자외가구의 비소비지출 조정속도가 훨씬 커서 근로자가구가 노후대비 지출축소에 훨씬 신중히 접근하고 있다는 것을 보인다. 이동회귀분석을 통해 보건비와 식료품비를 제외한 품목의 지출증가가 점차 감소하는 경향을 보인다는 것과 근로자가구의 비소비지출은 점차 커지는 것과 달리 근로자외가구는 점차 작아져서 근로자가구가 노후불안에 대해 자영업자에 비해 더 많이 준비하고 있음을 밝힌다.
Abstract
As the income gap between worker households and non-worker households in Korea gradually widens, the purpose of this study is to identify differences in consumption patterns between worker households and non-worker households. By estimating the error correction equation, it was found that both worker households and non-worker households have small error correction coefficients for communication, health, and food expenses, and in particular, the adjustment speed of communication and health expenses is small, so they experience considerable difficulty in adjusting communication and health expenses. The error correction coefficients of worker households are larger than those of non-worker households in food, clothing, shoes, housing, transportation, and education, so expenditure adjustments are made quickly. However, the error correction coefficients of worker households are smaller than those of non-worker households in communications, entertainment, food, lodging, and non-consumption expenditures, so expenditure reductions are more likely to occur for non-worker households. It is revealed that adjustments are made more slowly compared to maternal households. In particular, the speed of adjustment in non-consumption expenditures for non-working households is much greater, showing that working households are taking a much more cautious approach to reducing spending for retirement. Moving regression analysis shows that the increase in expenditures for items excluding health and food expenses tends to gradually decrease, and while the non-consumption expenditures of working households gradually increase, the non-worker households gradually become smaller, leading to worker households becoming self-employed due to retirement anxiety. It is revealed that they are preparing more than before.
- 발행기관:
- 한국산업경제학회
- 분류:
- 경제학