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학술논문아태비즈니스연구2024.12 발행

생성형 인공지능을 활용한 투자 포트폴리오 형성에 관한 실증 분석 연구

An Empirical Study on Investment Portfolio Formation Using Generative Artificial Intelligence

홍태나(동국대학교-서울 경영학과); 김대룡(동국대학교-서울 경영학과)

15권 4호, 249~263쪽

초록

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to empirically verify whether generative artificial intelligence (AI) can be used as a tool to positively influence investors’ investment strategies. Design/methodology/approach - For this purpose, we received recommendations from GPT-4o for stocks of different sizes and weights among the large and liquid securities that make up the CSI 300 Index, formed five portfolios through mean-variance optimization, and compared and analyzed the changes in cumulative returns. Findings - The empirical results showed that the cumulative returns of portfolios based on stocks rated as excellent by GPT-4o were better than those of the market index, CSI300, regardless of the portfolio composition. In addition, the cumulative return performance estimated by the portfolios weighted by GPT-4o did not differ from the cumulative returns of the portfolios formed by applying the financial mean-variance optimization theory. Research implications or originality - The results of this empirical analysis show that generative AI models have ample potential to be used as a tool to have a positive effect on investment strategies, such as portfolio construction, beyond simple stock selection.

Abstract

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to empirically verify whether generative artificial intelligence (AI) can be used as a tool to positively influence investors’ investment strategies. Design/methodology/approach - For this purpose, we received recommendations from GPT-4o for stocks of different sizes and weights among the large and liquid securities that make up the CSI 300 Index, formed five portfolios through mean-variance optimization, and compared and analyzed the changes in cumulative returns. Findings - The empirical results showed that the cumulative returns of portfolios based on stocks rated as excellent by GPT-4o were better than those of the market index, CSI300, regardless of the portfolio composition. In addition, the cumulative return performance estimated by the portfolios weighted by GPT-4o did not differ from the cumulative returns of the portfolios formed by applying the financial mean-variance optimization theory. Research implications or originality - The results of this empirical analysis show that generative AI models have ample potential to be used as a tool to have a positive effect on investment strategies, such as portfolio construction, beyond simple stock selection.

발행기관:
경영경제연구소
DOI:
http://dx.doi.org/10.32599/apjb.15.4.202412.249
분류:
경영학일반

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생성형 인공지능을 활용한 투자 포트폴리오 형성에 관한 실증 분석 연구 | 아태비즈니스연구 2024 | AskLaw | 애스크로 AI