성인학습자 대학생의 중도탈락 의도 예측모형

The purpose of this study is to establish a prediction model by searching for factors influencing adult undergraduate students' dropout intention. The effects of individual factors (demographic variables) and university factors (college life variables) on dropout intention were explored by applying multiple logistic regression analysis, stepwise logistic regression analysis, and mediation effect analysis. The research results are as follows. Firstly, university factors such as school year, university commitment, and scholastic ability were found to be significant variables in dropout intention. The second school year, the lower university commitment, and the lower scholastic ability lead to the higher intention to drop out. Secondly, it was found that interaction with professors, peer relation, major satisfaction, and university reputation had an effect on dropout intention through university commitment as a full mediation variable. By applying the dropout intention prediction model developed in the research, it is possible to specifically predict the probability of dropout intention and classify the dropout intention. Follow-up researches based on implications derived from this study are recommended. First, it is suggested to conduct a path analysis reflecting the moderation effect and mediation effect by exploring the effect of demographic variables on dropout intention in various ways. Second, it is necessary to analyze the difference in factors influencing the intention to drop out between adult undergraduate students and school-age college students.. Third, it is needed to explore the causes for the high dropout intention of the second school year of adult undergraduate students.