갈등영향분석을 통한 합의형성 가능성 분석: 고리원전 2호기 계속운전 사례를 중심으로

This study aims to propose consensus-building strategies through a case study of the conflict surrounding the continued operation of the Kori Nuclear Power Plant, a pending issue related to the plant. Based on a literature review, focus group interviews were conducted with ten experts to analyze the impact of the conflict. The analysis revealed that the key stakeholders in the conflict and parties to the agreement—Gijang County, residents within a 5km radius of the plant, and the Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power(KHNP) headquarters in Gori—were relatively likely to reach agreement on the key issues of safety and public acceptance. The likelihood of negotiations failing due to Gijang County, residents, and KHNP breaching the area of ​​potential agreement was deemed low. However, if negotiations on the scope and subject of KHNP's compensation were delayed and residents within a 30km radius objected, a dilemma could arise. Therefore, defining the scope of negotiation participants was deemed crucial to ensure that the parties involved entered the area of ​​potential agreement. The most important consensus-building method is communication and mediation. Determining the scope of participants in the communication and mediation body was deemed to be a critical factor in the success of the mediation.