고용 및 산업위기 특별지역 지정의 고용효과: 목포ㆍ영암ㆍ해남을 대상으로

This study analyzes the employment effects of policies implemented in Mokpo, Yeongam, and Haenam in Jeolla Province. These areas were designated as Employment and Industrial Crisis Special Regions in 2018 due to the shipbuilding industry recession. Our analysis utilizes data from the Regional Employment Survey and employs the Synthetic Control Method (SCM). The estimation results, differentiated by residence-based and workplace-based criteria, show varied policy effects. In Mokpo, the workplace-based data indicates that manufacturing employment was maintained. However, the residence-based data shows a decline in manufacturing and service industry employment, suggesting that individuals may have migrated to nearby regions for employment opportunities. In Yeongam, workplace-based manufacturing employment decreased, whereas residence-based employment showed a mid-to-long-term recovery trend, and service industry employment exhibited overall stability. Haenam displayed similar trends under both criteria, with manufacturing and service employment remaining relatively stable. These results demonstrate the necessity of utilising both residence and workplace based criteria when evaluating the effectiveness of industrial and employment policies. They imply that future policy formulation must consider not only the recovery of local industries, but also inter-city worker mobility and changes in the employment structure.